I came across this post I made on facebook in 2009. It was based on market wide quantitative measures I was looking at at the time.
Calling the Market Bottom In 2009
Posted on October 19, 2013 by Tucker Balch
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Anne C. Balch
October 19, 2013
I could read the chart!! You were right!
On Sat, Oct 19, 2013 at 2:49 PM, the augmented trader wrote:
> ** > Tucker Balch posted: “I came across this post I made on facebook in > 2009. It was based on market wide quantitative measures I was looking at > at the time. “
Shmuel Silverman
October 19, 2013
This was a nice call. I wish I new you then. :-)
BJM
October 21, 2013
May I ask what mix of quantitative measures you used in order to make this statement at the time?
Tucker Balch
November 11, 2013
@BJM, to be honest I don’t recall for certain. I believe I was looking at the betas of stocks to the SP500. Before that time they were all nearly the same at 1.0. But in March they were beginning to diverge. But like I said, I don’t recall for certain.
Anony Mole
December 29, 2013
A single sample, a record, does not make. Did you predict the bottom at any other time yet were wrong? And what about your prediction of the top – which might have been even more impressive? We would have to see a continuous sequence of predictions to give you the title of Market Sage Extraordinaire.